The meeting is expected to focus on the federal electoral schedule recently announced by the National Electoral Commission, which outlines the proposed timeline for the elections of both Houses of the Federal Parliament and the Somali Presidential Election.

Opposition leaders and the heads of the Puntland and Jubbaland administrations are expected to consult on their collective stance regarding the Federal Government’s electoral plan.

These factions have previously opposed the framework pushed by the government, arguing that electoral decisions were not based on consultation or an inclusive political agreement.

The Nairobi summit will also analyze political agendas previously prepared by the parties, with expectations that they will attempt to formulate a unified position on electoral matters and the country’s political trajectory.

Furthermore, members of the Somali Future Council will hold meetings with representatives of the international community to discuss the political situation in Somalia and the potential for reaching a negotiated resolution to the dispute between the Federal Government, the opposition, and the administrations of Jubbaland and Puntland.

Political friction continues to escalate, with the opposition accusing the government of failing to conduct sufficient consultations on major national decisions.

Former President Sharif Sheikh Ahmed, who held a press conference in Mogadishu on Saturday, criticized the government’s handling of political affairs, stating that the governance of the country cannot be confined to the vision of a single faction.

For his part, President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud on Friday denied reports alleging that the Federal Government was planning an attack against opposition politicians.

The President stated that there is no party the government intends to launch a war against, emphasizing that political disputes can be resolved through dialogue and that the door to negotiation remains open to parties holding differing views.

The anticipated meeting in Nairobi comes at a time when the controversy surrounding the federal electoral model remains unresolved, with no political agreement yet reached that satisfies the Federal Government, the opposition, and the administrations of Jubbaland and Puntland.

The outcome of the meeting and the decisions reached by the parties on electoral issues are expected to shape political efforts aimed at addressing the ongoing deadlock.

However, the final positions to be adopted by the stakeholders and the steps following the summit have not yet been officially announced.

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The cabinet session, held today, was chaired by Jubbaland’s Minister of Endowments and Religious Affairs, Mohamed Yusuf Omar.

Discussions centered primarily on state financial governance, specifically the endorsement of the upcoming fiscal year’s budget.

During the meeting, the Ministry of Finance and Economic Development delivered a detailed presentation outlining revenue adjustments, domestic collection shifts, and the aggregate fiscal envelope allocated for state operations throughout the upcoming budgetary cycle.

According to the ministry’s report, Jubbaland’s domestic revenue registered a 2.42% increase, reflecting growth in internal collections compared to the baseline period under review.

However, the publicly disclosed figures do not specify the exact monetary value of the domestic revenue, the comparative benchmark period, or the primary revenue streams driving the increase.

The aggregate 2027 budget for the Jubbaland State Government stands at $60,886,783.86, serving as the primary fiscal blueprint guiding administrative functions and the execution of priority government programs through the year.

Budgetary approval marks a crucial milestone in public financial management, providing the foundation for expenditure planning, revenue mobilization, and funding allocation across essential public services and administrative portfolios.

It also equips the administration with a formalized mechanism to address the operational requirements of various state agencies and fulfill pressing governance obligations.

The reported increase in domestic revenue could mark a significant factor in the administration’s ability to cover its expenditures, given that internal collections represent a primary financial source through which governments fund social services and operational costs across state institutions.

However, evaluating the actual impact of this increase requires additional data regarding total revenue volume, primary collection streams, and the strategic framework planned to further optimize tax administration.

The 2027 fiscal budget is expected to guide the Jubbaland State Government’s financial blueprint throughout the coming year.

Nevertheless, the publicly disclosed details do not yet outline specific ministerial line-item allocations, civil service payroll, capital development projects, public service delivery, or other sectoral operational costs.

Going forward, the key focus will shift to execution—specifically the government’s operational capacity to collect projected revenue targets, manage expenditure controls, and ensure transparent, targeted utilization of public funds.

This budgetary approval comes at a time when fiscal planning and domestic revenue mobilization remain critical for regional federal member states, which must continually balance public service demands, administrative overhead, and infrastructure development investments.

To date, released official reports have not provided further granularity regarding which specific line items received the largest allocations under the 2027 budget or the target projects slated for implementation.

However, official confirmation affirms that the Jubbaland State Cabinet has formally ratified the 2027 budget, set at an aggregate total of $60.89 million, alongside a reported 2.42% increase in domestic revenue.

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The administration specifically highlighted the roles played by elders, women, intellectuals, youth, and various officials who contributed to the peace efforts.

Jubbaland called for the preservation of the outcome of these efforts, urging the local community and the people of Jubbaland as a whole to avoid any action that could reignite past conflicts.

Furthermore, the administration urged the parties concerned to prioritize dialogue, mutual consensus, and cooperation to ensure that the peace achieved in Beledhawo becomes sustainable.

The press release demonstrates that the Jubbaland administration places importance on calming the situation in the town, although it did not elaborate on the roles of the political and military actors involved in the recent developments in the area.

Abdirashid Janan’s Forces and the Changing Situation in Beledhawo: Meanwhile, information regarding the situation in Beledhawo indicates that the forces led by Abdirashid Janan moved through the Jubbaland administration’s sphere and took over the overall administration of the area.

This matter is part of the political and security situation prevailing in the Gedo region, which has recently experienced disputes concerning administration, political power, and control over certain areas.

Beledhawo holds strategic importance because it is located near the borders of Somalia, Kenya, and Ethiopia, and serves as a vital hub for commerce, human traffic, and security movements in the Gedo region.

As the available information indicates, the new situation in the city and the movement of Janan’s forces are among the matters connected to the ongoing talks between him and Jubbaland leaders.

However, official details regarding how the local administration was transferred to those forces, the agreements reached, and how long this status quo will persist have not yet been fully elaborated.

Janan and Jubbaland Talks Still Underway: Although Jubbaland welcomed the peace efforts in Beledhawo, reports indicate that negotiations between Abdirashid Janan and the administration’s leadership are still ongoing.

Available data suggests that these talks focus on finalizing an agreement to resolve the issues between the two sides, with the pact expected to be concluded in Kenya.

If those talks bear fruit, they could help de-escalate the political and security tensions in the Gedo region, particularly in Beledhawo, which has recently experienced friction and shifts related to local governance.

Nevertheless, comprehensive official details regarding the exact timeline for signing the agreement, its core provisions, or who will formally participate in the finalization meeting remain unavailable.

Furthermore, it is unclear whether the anticipated agreement will specifically address the administration of Beledhawo, force positioning, political power-sharing, or other aspects of the relationship between Janan and Jubbaland.

These elements still require further clarification from the parties engaged in the dialogue.

What Can Be Deduced from the Press Release’s Omission? Another critical point is that the Jubbaland Presidency’s press release omitted any explicit mention of the forces led by Abdirashid Janan, even though intelligence and local reports confirm they are central to the recent transformations in Beledhawo.

The press release emphasized peace, community cooperation, and the need to avoid a relapse into conflict.

However, it did not provide details regarding the status of the forces, local administration, or the ongoing talks.

From that silence alone, no official conclusions can be drawn regarding Jubbaland’s stance on Janan’s forces or the specifics of the negotiations.

It is possible that the press release was limited to a peace message, while other matters remain under negotiation without being formally disclosed.

Therefore, it is important to distinguish between what is explicitly written in the press release and other intelligence regarding the political situation in Beledhawo.

Beledhawo and the History of Gedo Region Tensions: The Gedo region has long grappled with political and security tensions that have impacted relations between regional administrations, military forces, and various segments of society.

Beledhawo, a vital town near the Kenyan border, is particularly vulnerable to the impact of these conflicts due to its commercial, geographical, and security significance.

The town is also crucial for the movement of people and goods traveling between Somalia and Kenya.

Consequently, any security or administrative situation occurring in Beledhawo can affect the daily lives of local residents, traders, and cross-border traffic.

The Jubbaland press release noted that the people of Beledhawo have previously experienced conflicts that caused loss of life and property, material destruction, and displacement affecting the lives of the local population.

That history illustrates why it is important that peace efforts are not restricted to short-term de-escalation, but are instead transformed into a framework that resolves disputes and protects the rights and safety of the public.

Call to Preserve Stability: Jubbaland urged the community of Beledhawo and the people of Jubbaland as a whole to strengthen dialogue, mutual consensus, and solidarity, while avoiding anything that could reignite conflicts.

The administration also encouraged various parties to continue efforts to ensure sustainable peace, which can serve as the foundation for development, reconstruction, and the recovery of the local community.

On the other hand, if the negotiations between Abdirashid Janan and Jubbaland leaders conclude with a mutually agreed-upon pact, it will be essential to clearly define the terms of the agreement and establish a mechanism for implementation and future dispute resolution.

It is also vital to include the local community in peacebuilding efforts so that any agreement gains public support beyond political and military factions.

Conclusion: Jubbaland’s welcoming of the peace efforts in Beledhawo comes at a time of reported security and administrative shifts in the town, with intelligence indicating that forces led by Abdirashid Janan have taken over local governance, while talks between him and Jubbaland leadership remain ongoing.

Although the Jubbaland Presidency focused heavily on safeguarding peace and stability, its press release omitted any mention of Janan’s forces or the reported ongoing negotiations.

Attention is now focused on the outcome of these talks and whether they will lead to a formal agreement resolving the disputes and ensuring sustainable stability taking root in Beledhawo and the Gedo region as a whole.

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In an official press statement released by the Jubbaland Presidency, the administration stated that it does not recognize the decision, describing it as unconstitutional and an overreach of the powers granted to federal member states.

Jubbaland emphasized that both its own constitution and Somalia’s Provisional Federal Constitution clearly grant it the authority to manage agreements related to trade, investment, and infrastructure within its territory.

The Jubbaland administration further noted that only Jubbaland has the legal right to amend or cancel agreements concerning the Port of Kismayo and other key infrastructure located within its jurisdiction, asserting that this authority is grounded in law and constitutional provisions.

“The Jubbaland Government alone holds full authority to amend or revoke all development and security agreements, particularly those related to trade and infrastructure development, as clearly stipulated in the Jubbaland Constitution and the Federal Constitution of Somalia,” said Jubbaland Minister of Information Abdifataah Mohamed Mukhtaar.

This decision comes amid escalating tensions between the Federal Government and regional administrations, particularly over how relations with foreign countries are managed and how strategic agreements related to ports, security, and investment are handled.

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The delegation that arrived in Kismayo today was led by the Secretary of the Somali Salvation Forum, Mohamed Adan Koofi. They were received at Sayid Mohamed Abdulle Hassan Airport by the Jubbaland Minister of Interior, Mohamed Ibrahim Oogle, along with other officials from the Jubbaland administration.

Speaking to the media, Minister Mohamed Ibrahim Oogle stated that the conference will last four days, running from December 17 to December 20.

He noted that the meeting will focus on finalizing the structure of the Somali Future Council and analyzing the country’s ongoing transitional political situation.

For his part, Mohamed Adan Koofi said that the Kismaayo conference is of great importance given the difficult political phase Somalia is currently facing.

“Today I arrived in the city of Kismayo, where the conference to complete the formation of the Somali Future Council will soon open. During the conference, key issues related to the country’s complex situation will be discussed,” Koofi said, while thanking the Jubbaland administration and people for their warm reception and hospitality.

Reports from Kismayo indicate that the Jubbaland administration has significantly strengthened security and overall preparations, as opposition leaders—many of whom previously held senior positions in the federal government—are expected to arrive in the city in the coming days.

Members of the opposition have described the Kismaayo conference as a historic opportunity for unity, bringing them together after a long period of consultations and coordination.

During the conference, participants are expected to hold both open and closed-door meetings to deliberate on the country’s political direction, challenges to state-building, and their perspectives on the ongoing political changes.

The President of Jubbaland, Ahmed Mohamed Islam (Ahmed Madobe), is hosting the opposition leaders during their stay in Kismayo. The conference comes at a time when Somalia is experiencing intense political debates and a strong need for a unified opposition platform, particularly on national issues such as elections.

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They asserted that President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud’s term ends on 15 May 2026 and expressed concern about the direction in which Somalia is heading.

Both Jubbaland and Puntland insisted that only consensus can save Somalia from failure, warning against unilateral decision-making.

They reiterated their earlier position that the constitutional amendments and the appointment of the electoral commission by President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud are illegitimate.

Jubbaland Statement

“The Jubaland government believes that the current situation in the country necessitates a national consultation and a serious focus on priority issues, as the Federal Government of Somalia has deviated from all important agendas, especially the fight against terrorism and protecting the unity of the Somali people.

Jubaland welcomes calls from all political parties and the Somali people for a general consultation on the direction of the country.

Likewise, Jubaland fully supports the call issued by the National Salvation Forum regarding the difficult period the country is in today.

It is unfortunate that the Federal Government has failed to provide leadership that unites the Somali people, and is constantly preoccupied with short-term political interests that have further eroded public trust. Therefore, Jubaland believes that the country’s salvation lies in national consensus and genuine leadership that takes responsibility for the future of Somalia.

The Jubaland government calls on the Somali people to stand by the unity and security of the country, and to participate in efforts to build a future led by the people, building trust, unity, and genuine governance.”

Puntland Statement

“The Puntland Government reiterates its concern over the deepening political turmoil in Somalia and the uncertainty surrounding the country’s state-building process. The Puntland Government, while underscoring the need to preserve the unity and solidarity of the Somali nation, has repeatedly called on the leaders of the Federal Government of Somalia to listen to the calls of the country’s political stakeholders, and uphold the interim constitution that elected the President of the Federal Government on May 15, 2022, which is based on a political agreement that was adopted with the approval of voters from various sectors of Somali society in 2012.

Unfortunately, the President of the Federal Federal Government has deliberately ignored these calls, and in a manner inconsistent with the political agreements, the Interim Constitution and other provisions of the agreement, has abused the repeal of the basic provisions of the Interim Constitution, which has plunged the country into political confusion and uncertainty as to the future and unity of Somalia.

The Puntland Government condemns the corrupt policy of the President of the Federal Federal Government to interfere in, divide constitutional institutions, and organizations united to direct the policy of the Federal Government. The practice of interfering and dividing constitutional institutions and political organizations is based on the prejudice and desire for personal interests that Somalia has experienced in the past, and has led to political and security collapse.

The Puntland government supports the press release issued today by the Salvation Forum, and reiterates its call for the President of the Federal Republic of Somalia, whose term ends on May 15, 2026, to put the country’s government on the table, listen to the recommendations of the country’s political stakeholders in order to reach a consensus on holding elections for the Houses of Parliament and the President of the Federal Republic of Somalia in accordance with the 2012 Interim Constitution.

Finally, the Puntland Government, in accordance with its Constitution and the Interim Constitution of the Federal Republic of Somalia (2012), is ready to participate in preventing the institutions of the Federal Government from falling into legal limbo, which could lead to a statelessness in the country. The Puntland Government also calls on the Somali people to unite in the fight against the extremist organizations of ISIS and Al-Shabaab, which pose a threat to the existence and sovereignty of the Somali people.”

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This meeting was initially announced by president Hassan Sheikh Mohamud.

A brief statement published on the official Facebook page of the Office of the Prime Minister of Somalia announced the postponement, citing internal consultations among national leaders as the reason for the delay.

“The National Consultative Council (NCC) meeting, which was scheduled to officially begin in Mogadishu tomorrow, has been rescheduled to Monday, May 5, 2025, following consultations among the country’s leaders,” the statement read.

According to the statement, the postponement aims to allow more time for further dialogue on key issues to ensure unified outcomes that serve the interests of the Somali people and nation.

Some federal government sources told Kaab TV that the meeting was delayed partly due to pressure from the Puntland State House and Jubbaland, who insisted that the talks be relocated to Garowe — a proposal strongly opposed by President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud.

International partners, who recently met with President Hassan Sheikh, have reportedly urged him to compromise for the sake of national unity, as the NCC summit has not convened since October 2024.

The last NCC meeting was held in October 2024, but a political dispute disrupted the session, leading President Ahmed Madobe of Jubbaland to withdraw and abruptly depart from Mogadishu.

The ongoing tensions between President Hassan Sheikh and federal member states have overshadowed preparations for the meeting and negatively impacted joint military operations against Al-Shabaab.

The growing political fragmentation continues to hinder Somalia’s path toward peace and reconciliation.

It remains unclear whether the rescheduled meeting will indeed take place on May 5, as previous attempts have also been postponed multiple times.

Meanwhile, President Hassan Sheikh’s administration has only a year left in office, yet the type of election the country will hold has not been agreed upon.

Despite this, the federal government is moving ahead with its controversial unilateral electoral process without the approval of regional states and other political stakeholders.

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The announcement was made by Senator Abdullahi Ismail Fartag, Somalia’s Minister of Internal Security, who is currently in the Gedo region holding meetings with clan elders, politicians, and security forces.

Tensions between the Federal Government and Jubaland authorities have been running high.

Earlier this month, Jubaland forces defeated Somali government troops in a confrontation in Raaskaambooni, and clashes were also reported in the Gedo region, which borders Ethiopia.

Despite the ongoing hostilities, Minister Fartag stated that the Federal Government is committed to holding elections administered by Mogadishu in Kismayo and six other cities within Jubaland, including Gedo, where the situation remains tense.

“We will ensure that a one-person, one-vote election takes place in Jubaland. That is what Ahmed Madobe does not want,” Fartag declared during a speech in Garbaharey, the regional capital of Gedo.

Last month, Jubaland held its state-level election in Kismayo, re-electing President Ahmed Madobe for another five-year term. It remains unclear how the Federal Government plans to implement its election amidst the current political and security challenges.

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