His rallying cry, “Somalia at peace with itself and abroad,” promised a decisive break from years of transitional dysfunction and regional isolation.

Today, as his administration crosses the halfway point, that promise lies heavily burdened by deep internal fractures, diplomatic blunders, massive corruption that brought the country to its knees and an insurgency that remains both relentless and adaptive.

The very pillars upon which Hassan Sheikh anchored his second presidency—reconciliation, constitutional clarity, international alignment, and security—are now in crisis.

An Electoral Minefield and the Constitution in Limbo

One of the clearest indictments of the current administration is the persistent deadlock over Somalia’s electoral framework. Far from achieving a unified model, the country has become more fragmented. Tensions between the federal government and Federal Member States (FMS), especially Puntland and Jubaland, have intensified, eroding trust and threatening the fragile balance of federalism.

The federal government’s push for a controversial one-person, one-vote system without first seeking consensus has raised alarm bells, not because of the principle itself, but due to its unilateral rollout.

Opposition groups argue that it lacks legal clarity, institutional readiness, and most crucially—political inclusivity.

Meanwhile, the constitutional review process—once expected to anchor long-term stability—has stalled. Draft amendments presented in Mogadishu have sparked suspicion among the federal member states, with many viewing them as attempts to centralize power under the guise of reform. Instead of healing Somalia’s political wounds, the process has opened new ones.

Against all odds, the President has pressured three federal member state leaders—Galmudug, Hirshabelle, and Southwest—to join his unilateral political party – Justice and Solidarity Party. This party officials also include the Prime Minister, Deputy Prime Minister, Deputy Speaker, and nearly all government ministers, signaling a shift toward authoritarian rule reminiscent of regimes in Djibouti and Turkey.

The once diverse National Consultative Council (NCC) is now effectively defunct, its remnants absorbed into a single-party structure.

Foreign Policy Flip-Flops and Lost Leverage

Under President Hassan Sheikh’s watch, Somalia’s foreign relations have swerved unpredictably, damaging trust with key allies.

The fallout with Ethiopia over its controversial Red Sea agreement with Somaliland plunged Horn diplomacy into crisis. The agreement—widely seen as a threat to Somalia’s territorial integrity—forced the government to seek urgent regional support.

But Mogadishu’s initial diplomatic missteps and emotive responses left observers questioning its strategic depth.

Elsewhere, relations with the United Arab Emirates have been strained over security cooperation and political influence. Even traditional allies like the United States, who re-established military presence in Somalia, have reportedly grown concerned about inconsistencies in Mogadishu’s foreign policy orientation.

The administration’s habit of issuing sweeping nationalist declarations without policy depth has undercut Somalia’s image as a stable partner on the international stage.

Security Gains Overshadowed by Strategic Gaps

The government declared “total war” on Al-Shabaab in 2022, and early gains—especially in central Somalia with the help of clan militia groups—were celebrated. Local communities were mobilized, and Somali National Army (SNA) offensives backed by clan militias achieved symbolic victories.

However, the momentum proved difficult to sustain. Retaken territories often lacked follow-up governance or services, allowing Al-Shabaab to regroup. In some areas, the insurgents have returned stronger, emboldened by local resentment toward federal neglect.

Today, the militant group controls most parts of Middle Shabelle, Hiiraan, and Lower Shabelle as it advances toward Mogadishu.

The slow and uncertain transition from ATMIS to the Somali-led AUSSOM mission raises growing concerns. With donor fatigue setting in and Somali forces overstretched, questions about the long-term sustainability of security remain unanswered, and the African Union mission stands on the brink of collapse.

A Presidency at Odds With Its Own Slogan

President Hassan’s supporters insist progress is underway—pointing to debt relief milestones, returning diaspora investment, and symbolic state-building moves like the Mogadishu Development Corporation.

Yet these isolated wins cannot mask the broader sense of disillusionment. Political legitimacy is waning, and accusations of exclusionary governance are growing louder.

Far from being at peace with itself and the world, Somalia under Hassan Sheikh has become more polarized at home and more unpredictable abroad. The credibility gap between government rhetoric and lived reality is widening, feeding public cynicism and energizing opposition.

With just under two years left in office, President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud faces a defining choice: continue down the current path of selective engagement and top-down governance—or recalibrate toward true national consensus.

That would mean reopening electoral talks with all stakeholders, including opposition figures and skeptical federal member states. It requires transparency in foreign affairs, measured rhetoric, and investment in post-liberation governance—not just military bravado.

Hassan Sheikh’s second term was meant to restore diplomacy and inclusive governance. Instead, it has exposed the fragility of Somalia’s progress. This requires the humility to accept that slogans are no substitute for real leadership.

If he really wants to salvage his legacy and fulfill his promise of peace, the time to change course is now. The clock is ticking—and history won’t be kind to those who chose rhetoric over results.

——

The Author is the Director of Arlaadi Media Network, Foreign Policy journalist and communications specialist. You can reach out him in X (Twitter) @JaylaaniJr

The post OP-ED: Three Years On – How Hassan Sheikh Betrayed Somalia’s Fragile Federalism appeared first on Kaab TV.

In effect, this is a practice that has become a means of funding urban modernization and development, creating a new class of oligarchs while it displaces vulnerable communities and erodes public trust in government institutions.

As opposition leaders, lawmakers, and citizens raise alarm, the international community must take note: Somalia’s fragile recovery is at risk of being derailed by corruption, inequality, and the unchecked privatization of public assets.

Somalia has some of the largest expanses of uninhabited land in the Horn of Africa. These include public lands that were once military camps, agricultural fields, and areas reserved for community development-a treasure for a country trying to get up after so many years of war.

However, all these lands were being sold to a handful of rich people, often referred to as “oligarchs,” in non-transparent deals without accountability.

The government argues that the proceeds of these sales would go to finance modernization of cities and covering infrastructure projects. Yet, there is scant evidence to support this assertion.

Opposition leaders, including former President Sharif Sheikh Ahmed, former Prime Minister Hassan Ali Khaire, and MP Abdirahman Abdishakur Warsame, accused the administration of President Hassan Sheikh Mohamud of violating Somalia’s constitution and legal framework by auctioning public property without oversight.

In a joint statement issued in early January, they warned that the uncontrolled sale of public lands risks entrenching corruption, exacerbating inequality, and undermining the rule of law.

Forced Evictions and Displacement

The human cost of these land sales is already becoming apparent. In many cases, these public lands have been home to civilians for years and sometimes generations. Now they are being forcibly evicted without compensation or alternative housing. The evictions are carried out with little warning and no due process.

These acts are a serious breach of public confidence for a country that is just struggling to regain its footing from war and abject poverty.

Displacement of vulnerable communities is not only a humanitarian issue but also a source of social unrest. As more and more people get displaced and their livelihoods affected, so does the threat of protests, violence, and further instability rise.

But even more disturbingly so in a country where the government’s legitimacy has already been weakened, and a region where an extremist group, Al-Qaeda-affiliated Al-Shabaab, is still out to wreak its terror.

A Financial Crisis in the Making

Equally damaging, the land sales have highlighted severe flaws in Somalia’s financial sector. There are reports that several Somali banks face collapse after being lent depositors’ money to buy public lands which the government is selling off.

This reckless act, termed “unlawful” by more than 100 federal lawmakers, jeopardizes not just the savings of ordinary citizens but also testifies to the lack of supervision and control within the country’s banking system. If these banks fail, it would be catastrophic.

The results of a breakdown in financial institutions would be to further destabilize the economy of Somalia, which already remains nascent after years of conflict.

This will also further entrench public distrust in the government and the financial sector, thereby making the attraction of much-needed investment for long-term recovery and development even more difficult.

A Controversial Election Funding Plan

Accusations that the government intends to use money generated by the land sales to finance a controversial one-person, one-vote election add to the controversy.

The political consensus on this issue has not been achieved yet, and there are many questions about the practicality of this initiative, reportedly leading international donors to refuse support for it.

Critics say such an approach in election financing sets a very dangerous precedent, as large tracts of public land get privatized to serve a political interest. In fact, the approach is detrimental to principles of transparency and accountability and runs a risk of increasing political polarization.

And to think this would be occurring in a country where confidence in the government institutions was already at an all-time low. Perceived funding of elections through selling public lands can’t help but reduce further what little confidence citizens currently have in a democratic process.

Government Denials and Public Distrust

Government officials, however, denied these claims and described them as “unfounded and politically motivated.” These land sales are part of an overall economic strategy, they explained.

Yet, the opacity of the transactions has only increased public skepticism. Without transparent mechanisms to ensure that funds are utilized for their intended purpose, the potential for embezzlement and mismanagement will remain high.

While declining to engage all these issues, the government reaction has only allowed the crisis to worsen. Unless the current administration provides a reasonable and credible explanation of its actions, it risks alienating not just its compatriots but also the very international partners whose assistance is essential for Somalia’s recovery.

This means the international community is responsible for this crisis. The donor countries and organizations should push the government of Somalia to freeze the sale of public lands until such time as an appropriate and transparent system is set up.

This means making sure land deals are conducted within the rule of law, adequate compensation to the concerned communities, and money obtained from them used for projects that have value for its people.

Equally significant would be the commitment on the part of international partners to technical and financial support for strengthening the financial sector in Somalia, along with enhancing oversight mechanisms, which would hopefully prevent the type of irresponsible behavior that put Somali banks at risk and jeopardized ordinary citizens’ savings.

A Frightening Crossroads for Somalia

Somalia is at a crossroads. The choices made today will determine the course of the country for the next several decades. In prioritizing short-term gains over long-term stability, the government risks squandering a rare opportunity to rebuild a nation that has endured so much.

Selling off public lands may appear an easy solution, but it is a perilous gamble that could widen inequality, undermine public trust, and pave the way for oligarchic rule anew.

The time to act is now. Somalia’s leaders must put the interests of their citizens above the ambitions of a favored few. The international community must hold them accountable.

This means Somalians need to keep demanding for transparency, justice, and their rightful share in all their country’s resources. Only then can Somalia have any real hope of true stability and prosperity.

–

Abdirahman Jeylani Mohamed, Foreign Policy Journalist and Communications Specialist

The post The Peril of Unchecked Public Land Auctions and the Rise of Oligarchs in Somalia appeared first on Kaab TV.

In a joint statement issued today, the three leaders accused the government of breaching constitutional and legal provisions by auctioning public property.

In Mogadishu, enforced evictions persist as internally displaced persons (IDPs) and vulnerable families are removed from public lands, which are then sold to wealthy businessmen.

Cash proceeds from these transactions are directly received by President Hassan Sheikh and his immediate family, including his two wives and children, as collaborated by various sources.

Among the sites affected by these sales include former military camps, a public cemetery, schools and several abandoned government ministry buildings, leaving displaced residents in dire circumstances.

President Sharif, former Prime Minister Khaire, and MP Abdishakur stated that the evictions of the vulnerable communities were conducted in order for the president Mohamud to sell the land or pay back his political allies.

The leaders stressed that Hassan Sheikh’s administration has disregarded key legal frameworks established to protect public lands, including:

• Articles 26 and 43 of the Constitution, which require the government to develop a national policy for public assets.
• Articles 50 and 51 of the Public Financial Management Act (2019), which govern the management of public property.
• Articles 87, 681, 723, and 730 of the Somali Civil Code (1973), regulating the use and alteration of public property.
• Law No. 41 on Urban Land Distribution (1973), which prohibits the sale of public lands without explicit legal authorization.

The leaders also accused the government of undermining key principles such as equitable access to land resources, proper land ownership registration, and protections against the exploitation of smallholders in the real estate market.

Warning to Buyers

The opposition leaders issued a stern warning to individuals and businesses involved in these illegal land transactions.

They emphasized that such deals are null and void and that participants could face serious legal consequences under both national and international law.

They highlighted four critical points:

1. Public land ownership cannot be acquired without adhering to constitutional and legal processes.
2. Only lawful procedures can grant ownership of government property.
3. Anyone involved in illegal transactions is complicit in national plunder and will be subject to legal action.
4. Accountability measures will apply to all parties implicated in the illegal sale, purchase, or transfer of public lands.

The leaders concluded by urging the public to resist efforts to privatize public assets unlawfully and called for the strict enforcement of legal protections for public property.

The post Businessmen Warned: Do Not Be Fooled Into Illegally Buying Public Land appeared first on Kaab TV.