A significant military buildup was reported across parts of Baidoa and its surrounding areas on Tuesday, fueling concerns that the political and security crisis in Southwest State could escalate into renewed armed conflict.
Residents told local media that large numbers of troops were seen deployed at key entry points to the city, particularly in areas controlled by forces aligned with the Federal Government of Somalia and the Southwest administration led by Sheikh Aadan Mohamed Nur (Aadan Madoobe).
The increased security presence comes amid growing tensions between rival political and military factions competing for influence in the region.
At the same time, reports from the outskirts of Baidoa indicate that forces loyal to former Southwest State President Abdiaziz Hassan Mohamed Laftagareen have reinforced their positions around the city.
Local sources said additional fighters and military equipment were observed at several locations surrounding Baidoa, suggesting that both sides are strengthening their readiness as tensions continue to rise.
The latest developments follow weeks of political confrontation and military mobilization between the Laftagareen camp and the administration backed by the federal government.
Earlier this month, heavy clashes erupted in and around Baidoa between federal-aligned forces and troops supporting Laftagareen, resulting in casualties and widespread disruption to civilian life.
In recent days, supporters of Laftagareen have publicly showcased forces stationed outside the city, while senior politicians and military figures associated with his faction have visited frontline positions.
Meanwhile, federal and Southwest State forces have established new security positions around Baidoa and tightened control over major roads leading into and out of the city.
Reports also indicate that additional federal troops have recently been deployed to Baidoa to reinforce the city’s defenses and strengthen security arrangements.
The deployments have coincided with increased military activity by Laftagareen-aligned forces, raising fears that both sides may be preparing for a prolonged confrontation.
Although there has been no confirmation that Tuesday’s troop movements are linked to an imminent offensive, the visible military activity has heightened anxiety among residents.
Many civilians remain traumatized by the recent fighting, which disrupted businesses, transportation and daily life, forcing some families to remain indoors or flee temporarily from affected neighborhoods.
Local residents say they are closely monitoring the situation, fearing that the concentration of troops around the city could once again trigger armed clashes.
Humanitarian organizations have also expressed concern that any renewed violence could lead to further displacement and increase pressure on already strained public services.
The tensions come amid reports that the Laftagareen camp recently issued an order suspending flights allegedly used to transport military personnel and equipment into Southwest State territories.
According to local media, the directive took effect on September 7, adding another layer of uncertainty to the ongoing standoff.
Analysts warn that restrictions on military transport, combined with the growing deployment of forces on both sides, could further complicate efforts to de-escalate the crisis.
Questions are also being raised about how the rival camps will sustain troop movements and logistical operations if the political dispute continues.
As Baidoa enters another period of uncertainty, residents and community leaders are urging all sides to pursue dialogue and avoid actions that could plunge the region into another round of conflict.
With both camps maintaining a strong military presence in and around the city, concerns remain high that the political deadlock could once again spill over into violence.